East Texas Parrothead wrote:Lance is back.
His team, Astana, looks strong, with Bruyneel back as manager.
He won the Nevada City Classic (small race) and came in 12th at this year's Giro (Tour of Italy).
So, what do ya'll think? Who's going to challenge him? Is his teammate Alberto Contador the man to take him down? What about his other teammate Levi? Can he do it again? Will 3 1/2 years off the bike, plus the birth of a new son, take its toll?
Inquiring minds want to know.

Y'all *knew* I'd have something to say about this, didn't you?
Lance has a history of riding as a "super-domestique" during the early season races that led up to the TdF, working in order to allow his teammates to place highly or take the wins, but that was his way of ensuring that they would be willing to give their all for him in the TdF. Call it building loyalty, or (from a slightly more cynical view) like the Godfather, making it so that they owed him a favor, it worked to perfection in the past.
The Astana situation this year reminds me of similar circumstances on the La Vie Clair team between Bernard Hinault and then up-start teammate Greg Lemond back in 1985 when Lemond found himself in a position to challenge Hinault for overall placement
(referred to as the GC or General Classification), but acquiesced to the team director's orders and a promise from Hinault to ride in support of Lemond the following year — a promise which later proved to be just so many words. Contador is the designated 'leader' of Team Astana, which means that Lance should be riding as a subordinate to him — which I'm sure he will do. But should Contador falter badly or start showing any signs of weakness, I'm equally certain that Johann (Bruyneel, team director for Astana) is more than willing to change horses in mid-stream.
Despite his abilities and prior Tour history, Levi finds himself as horse #3 in a two-horse race, and I fear that he will not be a factor with regards to the overall win unless something happens to *both* Lance and Alberto. I just hope he too realizes it. His riding as a team member, however, does have the potential to make or break the chances of either Armstrong or Contador. Quite simply, I do not envy Mr. Bruyneel his task in dealing with this situation.
Other things to remember is that Lance, despite his "Superman" reputation, is returning to cycling after 3-plus years away from the sport; he is 37 (almost 38) years old, an age at which most competitive cyclists are contemplating retirement rather than a return to the sport; and he will be riding after recovering from his first significant on-bike injury, a broken collarbone
(relatively minor as cycling injuries go, but a potential chink in his armor). I'm sure he is as ready, both physically and mentally, as he possibly can be, but the Tour is arguably the world's most demanding athletic event and takes a tremendous toll on both body and mind.
Be assured that I will be watching closely. I hope for a very safe and competitive Tour. It would be great if the actual winner would still be in doubt until the end of stage 20 (the climb up Mont Ventoux). I also pray that this tour will be the first in my memory that will be free of any and all doping controversy; however, knowing the past I'm sure that the rumors, insinuations, and allegations will be there regardless.
-"BB"-