ejr wrote:Garry--I really have to disagree with you, and agree with ETP-McCain did have a chance, though not a great one. And yes, Palin may have given McCain the conservative vote that was in danger of sitting out, but it also cost him dearly. A lot of the women who were angry that the democrats didn't choose Hillary, and who said they would vote for McCain felt pandered to by the choice, and were disenfranchised by much of what she had to say. Palin was not yet ready for prime time, was ill served by those advising her (or chose to ignore there advice) and became a drag on the ticket. It wasn't McCain's age that was the issue--it was the thought of Palin a heartbeat away from the presidency of a man that age.
You raise some good points, Ellen, but on this one we'll have to agree to disagree.
I've got to go with Skibo and say McCain had no chance, and, again, I'm amazed that the election was as close as it was.
While some women voters may have gravitated toward McCain, and others away from him, I think what it came down to in the end is the party loyalists and the charisma of Obama.
Republican voters have a VERY nasty habit of "sitting out" an election if their guy (or gal) isn't at the top of the ticket, rather than consider the consequences if the other party gets elected.
Democrats, on the other hand have always had the Republicans over a barrel simply because they have more party loyalists than the Republicans ever dreamed of.
Sure, lots of women (and men too, I suppose) were upset that Hillary didn't get the nomination, but I think even STEVIE WONDER could see she would absolutely be tapped for a high level post, if not the V.P. slot, so they went with Obama, rather than risk having a Republican at Pennsylvania Avenue for another four years.
(And people can say what they want, but I'm going to my grave beliveing that if she would've thrown Bill's sorry a$$ out after the Lewisnsky circus, we'd have us another President Clinton in the White House. She made a lot of people angry when she "forgave" him for the sake of convenience, and, no doubt, what she thought would further her own political agenda.
That being said, Democrat voters have always done what Republican voters always SHOULD'VE done, and that's stay loyal to the party.
I garuntee that in 2012, if Mitt Romney gets the nomination, the Mike Huckabee supporters will have a hissy fit and stay home, and vice versa.
It hasn't hurt the Democrats that they've been nominating guys with CHARISMA lately either.
Look at the last few elections:
1980-Jimmy Carter, although he was the incumbent, his charisma was nothing compared to Ronaldus Magnimus. REPUBLICANS WIN.
1984-Walter Mondale, Sir Gloom & Doom himself. Charisma absolutely non-existant. REPUBLICANS WIN.
1988-Michale Dukakis. Charisma? PLEASE! REPUBLICANS WIN.
1992-Bill Clinton. Charisma and then some. DEMOCRATS WIN.
1996-Ditto. DEMOCRATS WIN.
2000-Al Gore. A man with the charisma of Frankenstein. REPUBLICANS WIN.
2004-John Kerry. No charisma, and the Republicans win again, but give the guy a break. He's from Massachusetts.
2008-Barack Obama. NOW do you see where I'm going with this?
Between their charisma and the party loyalists in their camp, if the Democrats quit nominating people like Dukakis, Kerry, Mondale, Gore, et. al., they'll probably have the White House from now until I get laid again.